My task is to consider whether haematopoietic cell transplants would be considered appropriate today in persons with features like victims of high-dose and dose-rate ionizing radiations after the Chernobyl nuclear power facility accident in 1986 given knowledge and experience gained over the past 35 years. 1st I consider the conceptual bases for considering an intervention appropriate and then the metric for deciding whether a transplant is appropriate in similar persons. Data needed to support this decision-making process include estimates of dose, dose-rate, dose uniformity, synchronous or metachronous injuries, donor availability and alternative interventions. Many of these co-variates have substantial uncertainties. Fundamental is a consideration of potential benefit-to-risk and risk-to-benefit ratios under conditions of substantial inaccuracy and imprecision. The bottom line is probably fewer transplants would be done and more victims would receive molecularly-cloned haematopoietic growth factors.
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