We aimed to investigate predictive factors of occult lymph node metastasis and to explore the diagnostic value of various standardized uptake value (SUV) parameters using fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) positron emission tomography computed tomography (PET/CT) in predicting occult lymph node metastasis of clinical N0 non-small cell lung cancer patients.
We retrospectively analyzed PET/computed tomography parameters of tumor and clinical data of 124 clinical N0 non-small cell lung cancer patients who underwent both preoperative F-FDG PET/computed tomography and anatomical pulmonary resection with systematic lymph node dissections. The SUVmax, SUVmean, metabolic total volume, and total lesion glycolysis of the primary tumor was automatically measured on the PET/computed tomography workstation. Standardized uptake ratio (SUR) were derived from tumor standardized uptake value divided by blood SUVmean (B-SUR) or liver SUVmean (L-SUR), respectively.
According to postoperative pathology, 19 (15%) were diagnosed as occult lymph node metastasis among 124 clinical N0 non-small cell lung cancer patients. On univariate analysis, carcinoembryonic antigen, cytokeratin 19 fragment, lobulation, and all PET parameters were associated with occult lymph node metastasis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and negative predictive value of L-SURmax were the highest among all PET parameters (0.778, 94.7%, and 98.4%, respectively). On multivariate analysis, carcinoembryonic antigen, cytokeratin 19 fragment, and L-SURmax were independent risk factors for predicting occult lymph node metastasis. Compared to L-SURmax alone and the combination of carcinoembryonic antigen and cytokeratin 19 fragment, the model consisting of three independent risk factors achieved a greater area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.901 vs. 0.778 vs. 0.780, P = 0.021 and 0.0141).
L-SURmax showed the most powerful predictive performance than the other PET parameters in predicting occult lymph node metastasis. The combination of three independent risk factors (carcinoembryonic antigen, cytokeratin 19 fragment, and L-SURmax) can effectively predict occult lymph node metastasis in clinical N0 non-small cell lung cancer patients.

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